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Daily KRO 2024 Favorites Report Publisher: Kaiser Research Online Author: Copyright 2024 John A. Kaiser
Daily Kaiser Research Favorites Report for May 9, 2024
(0:11:50): Why do you see West Vault Mining as a leveraged bet on the price of gold?
West Vault Mining Inc, headed by CEO Sandy McVey and Chairman Peter Palmedo, has positioned itself as a gold optionality play by completing a prefeasibility study and most of the permitting needed to develop the Hasbrouck and Three Hills gold deposits in Nevada to the southwest of Tonopah as open-pit heap leach operations. West Vault, which underwent a reorganization in 2020, has invested CAD $48 million to acquire and advance Hasbrouck project since 2014. The PFS updated in early 2023 indicates an after-tax NPV of USD $206 million at 5% and an IRR of 51.4% using a $1,790/oz base case price for gold that would yield 561,000 oz gold over 8 years from two nearby open pit mines. With CapEx at USD $66.2 million the project clears development hurdles but West Vault is in no hurry to put Hasbrouck into production. The stock offers good speculative value because the market is skeptical a producer would seek to acquire an asset that can produce only 71,000 ounces annually over a short mine life. However, Hasbrouck has resource expansion potential and would be the ideal starter mine for a producer seeking to consolidate and develop deposits in the Tonopah district. Although gold has hit $2,400, the market does not yet believe $2,000 is the new floor that will lead to a much higher real price as the conflict between Global East and West escalates. With $4 million working capital West Vault is in excellent position to wait for a buyout when a producer undertakes a district consolidation.
West Vault's Hasbrouck AT NPV (USD) at various gold prices
West Vault's Hasbrouck AT NPV per share (CAD) at various gold prices